The Economics of Financial Stress (online format; changed time)

Category: Macro Seminar
When: 09 May 2023
, 16:15
 - 17:30
Where: Online
Speaker: Yuriy Gorodnichenko (University of California Berkeley)

! Please note the changed time !

Title: The Economics of Financial Stress

Abstract: We study the psychological costs of financial constraints and their economic consequences. Using a representative survey of U.S. households, we document the prevalence of financial stress in U.S. households and a strong correlation between financial stress and measures of financial constraints. We incorporate financial stress into an otherwise standard dynamic model of consumption and labor supply. We emphasize three key results. First, a psychologybased theory of poverty traps requires two equally important components: financial stress itself and naivete about financial stress. Specifically, sophisticates save enough to escape highstress states, understanding that doing so alleviates the economic consequences of financial stress. On the other hand, naifs dis-save, fall into a poverty trap, and incur high welfare losses. Second, the financial stress channel can reverse the counterfactual negative wealth effect of labor supply because relieving stress frees up cognitive resources for productive work. Third, financial stress has macroeconomic implications on wealth inequality and fiscal multipliers.